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ROULETTE MISCONCEPTIONS debunked by Homeito Bemek |
I DO THIS because I have found that these misconceptions have lost me money.
I have kept records of spins and bets for years and have several hundred such records with many thousands of spins and bets.
I have analyzed those spins and I found that real life differs from what gamblers in general think.
Myself included...
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I use
LIVE ROULETTE SPINS
from a brick-and-mortar casino to make my points. And that casino is
Spielbank Wiesbaden
in Germany. I use it because everything I show can easily be verified if you download the same spins from here: http://www.spielbank-wiesbaden.de/DE/622/PermanenzenArchiv.php and check them yourself. (I do not use my own records as they can not be verified in an easy way) |
I use all downloadable files from
Table #3
(this table seems to be the most often referenced) from April 1, 2003 to December 31, 2008. That is a total of 2052 days or 51,065 dealers or 707,492 spins. |
| If you see 12 RED numbers hit back-to-back you should bet BLACK because it is a very small chance to see 13 Red numbers. |
This is often proved by calculating "1 / (2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2) = 1 / 8192" so the chance to hit Black is overwhelming!
Simple math gives Black a mere 18/37 (48.6%) chance...
So what will happen in real life? How often will Black hit after 12 Reds? After 2?
And how often will Red continue?
Click here to find out...
| If a number "sleeps" you should wait until it "wakes up" (hits) and then start betting it. |
It is often claimed that a "sleeper" that "wakes up" will hit again very soon.
Simple math gives the same distribution for all numbers regardless their "sleeping-time"...
So what will happen in real life? Will "sleepers" hit quicker than else when they "wake up"?
Click here to find out...
| All bets will even out in the long term. |
You have seen this everywhere... Everywhere where there is a math-person...
And they are correct: All bets will even out - or come closer to the probability - the more spins we investigate.
But that is only half the truth! Do you want to know the rest?
Click here to find out...
I will add new misconceptions when I find them and get so annoyed by the ignorance and lack of knowledge that is shown that I can not stop myself from publishing.
And if it is mis-leading on purpose... like system sellers use to do... Well...
They will not like this site!
Updates will be very irregular.
I hope these pages will shed some light...
Homeito Bemek
If you remember my name from somewhere... Yes, I was a member of Gambler's Glen message-board. A long time ago.
Today I'm retired...